Copy trading portfolio. Stat and actual results. Passive investing.

All we like the facts. And no matter how many words about copy trading as a source of passive investing will be spoken the ultimate argument will be the actual results. At the moment below are a sample of my copy trading portfolio and investing experience. I do not rush to disperse my capital among …

Algorithmic trading on Etoro.

Dear readers, as you may be aware, I launched a public portfolio and website dedicated to copy trading and its benefits for generating passive income. One of my portfolios is available for public viewing on the Etoro website. The trading algorithm based on a value investing as well as the sale of natural gas as …

Oilgasfund review and trading records

Dear subscribers and readers, as part of informational support i have decide to launch free subscription for Oilgasfund at https://collective2.com/details/126786783 . Portfolio updates 20/05/2020 Long position in UGA has been closed. I increased long position in oil companies and sold another portion of call option in UNG. My assessment of Natural gas is not bearish …

Natural gas futures spread F1 – F12 as indicator of long term price trend formation and its forecast

Last update 06 May, 2020 This article is methodological background for Oilgasfund hedge fund at https://collective2.com/details/126786783 Summary Actual spread F1 – F12 is -27% vs -10% (its long term average). Based on its current level and historical observation Natural gas coming out from a bearish zone and going to move forward on a flat trajectory …

USO vs BNO pair trading is unworkable

Dear friends, one of my algorithmic based strategy not works anymore. As you probably informed that WTI oil has more wider contango than Brent does. On practice that means BNO (Brent) was under less decaying in value then USO (WTI based). Hence. the trading long BNO sell USO was in good return and for years …

Антикризисная политика США в нефтяной отрасли: концептуальные аспекты и сигнал участникам рынка

Скачать статью в формате PDF можно по ссылке Антикризисная политика США.pdf Оригинал статьи представлен на сайте https://www.finversia.ru/publication/experts/antikrizisnaya-politika-ssha-v-neftyanoi-otrasli-kontseptualnye-aspekty-i-signal-uchastnikam-rynka-74461 В статье рассматриваются предпосылки качественной трансформации в нефтяной отрасли США и делается оценка того, каким будет ее преобразование в свете готовности политического руководства США поддержать антикризисные инициативы в отрасли. После  банкротств и консолидаций отрасль переродится на волне нового …

Вирусный кризис нефти: условия появления и глобальная оценка перспектив

Статья в формате PDF доступна по ссылке Вирусный кризис нефти PDF оргинал статьи на сайте https://www.finversia.ru/publication/experts/virusnyi-krizis-nefti-usloviya-poyavleniya-i-globalnaya-otsenka-perspektiv-74040 В статье автор предпринимает попытку оценить масштабы глобальных перемен на рынке нефти и темпы его восстановления после глубокого кризиса. Оцениваются факторы, предопределившие нестабильность, и указываются причины её неотвратимости. Рассматриваются основные очертания рынка в условиях его восстановления и строятся выводы …

USO ETF vs OIL WTI spot price history of recovery from financial crisis in 2008

Dear readers, i have accelerated release of analytical marks about ongoing situation in oil. Very dramatic events in oil market and too much rumors and assumptions. From articles in my feed you can reed about contago and its impact on oil price. There are investors that consider that USO is a good opportunity to avoid …

Oil price decline and contango. Or why current crisis is unprecedented.

To know more about real trading idea please use Oilgasfund at https://collective2.com/details/126786783 Dear readers, I would like to share with you some useful plots about oil price dynamic and its correlation with contango. Below is depictured contango/backwardation history for oil futures in comparison to oil price fluctuation. Main conclusions are following Oil price in downtrend …

Oil trading using Rollover of futures and its history database

Alongside with Natural gas contango monetization Oilgasfund also monetize contango in Oil. This monetization process more complex and it combined with gathering of futures premiums in two directions of trade either long or short (Natural gas trading only sell side or out of positions due to huge skew in negative rolling yield that makes any …

Momentum trading – guidance for practical implementation. Strategy backtest and trading metrics.

Last update February 26, 2020 Trading idea – every month on the last trading date, the close price for each tradable instrument is under testing observation to define the % of deviation from the price at the start of Timing period (3 months for given trading strategy). The instrument that was able to demonstrate the …

Collective2 trading systems update

Why it make a sence to read Dear friends here is information for my subscribers at trade.collective2.com . But also, it might be useful for the broad trading community from other copy trade platforms such as Etoro or Darwinex. Not so often can be seen real trading of the hedge fund manager with trading ideas …

Natural gas negative rolling yield collection strategy based on inverse UNG trading

Strategy idea – maintaining of short position in UNG in the amount of equal to own funds available on the each testing (rebalancing) date – every first working date of each month. This model is a part of trading algorithm that used by OilGasFund as hedgefund at https://collective2.com/details/126786783 Source of trading model positive expectations – …

Natural Gas price and inventories forecast. Midterm outlook.

The introduced below forecast is not investment advice and related to the trading process that Oilgasfund use for https://collective2.com/details/126786783 . Inventories outlook has been made based on STEO model with adjustments on export-import activities Inventories outlook for the next 12 months remained in the bearish configuration. Minimum for end of withdrawal season about 2 000 …

Trading prospects and Hedgefunds activites for 2020

Dear friends. Happy new year to all of you. Let’s patience, knowledge, and discipline will be with you for the whole year. In respect of trading, these critically important things will lead to long-term success. For this year, I have different plans and ideas and gradually will make you familiar with it. Some of them …

Macroeconomic forecast. Measuring of contraction risk in US economy.

Last posting 09/08/2019 In prior observation, I have pointed out worsening conditions that increased risk of recession such as Delinquency rate +2 points, Corporate profit +1 and Loan provision rate +1 point. The total score was 22 points and it corresponding to recession risk equal to 30%. Only one metric was marked as positive – …

Natural Gas price forecast and futures rollover history data base

Database link (last update 29/07/2019 ) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JKwSLDe1DiYrlpPes0Nt7t_UUD_3JuD7oWKxm2hBjnY/edit?usp=sharing Major events and forecasts on 29/07/2019 Contango finally appeared and started to erode UNG price that will push it to 15 USD at the end of the year. Bearish cycle on its initial phase, and will be more clearly observed as soon as current inventories vs 5 years …

Gap trading strategy: Backtest and key factors for successful implementation

Calculation link … https://drive.google.com/file/d/18ABFxd7zqzdyeoY1qHpr2xQPFU1bPSYQ/view?usp=sharing In this post, I will describe the main idea of quantitative trading and will demonstrate how it works using GAP trading model and appropriate timing tools. The modern trading algorithm based on a robust and sophisticated set of orders that reflect different execution styles and described in the post. In addition, …